000
ABNT20 KNHC 191129
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms have increased in coverage and become much 
better organized in association with a large low pressure system 
located about 700 miles southeast of Bermuda. Based on overnight 
development trends, a special advisory will be issued on a tropical 
depression this morning as the system meanders well southeast of 
Bermuda. See NOAA High Seas Forecast products for more details on 
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

A broad area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some gradual development of this system 
is possible late this week while it moves slowly northwestward or 
north-northwestward over the western Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the NOAA National Weather Service can 
be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
available on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Roberts