000
ABNT20 KNHC 181138
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 18 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a non-tropical low 
pressure system located about 550 miles east-southeast of Bermuda 
have been gradually increasing in both coverage and organization 
during the past 24 hours. Further development is expected, and a 
subtropical depression or storm is very likely to form during the 
next day or so while the low meanders well to the southeast of 
Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of 
days over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development 
of this system will be possible through the middle of the week as 
it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward over the western 
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Blake