000
ABNT20 KNHC 172331
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 17 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a non-tropical low 
pressure system located about 500 miles east-southeast of Bermuda 
have shown little change in organization since earlier today.  
Gradual development is expected, and a subtropical depression or 
storm is very likely to form during the next day or two while the 
low meanders well to the southeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days
over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some gradual development of 
this system will be possible through the middle of next week while 
it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward over the western 
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch