000
ABNT20 KNHC 171138
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 17 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in 
association with a non-tropical low pressure system located about 
500 miles east-southeast of Bermuda.  Continued slow development 
is expected, and a subtropical depression or storm is very likely 
to form during the next day or two while the low meanders well to 
the southeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days
over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some gradual development of 
this system will be possible through the middle of next week while 
it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward over the western 
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake