000
ABNT20 KNHC 302356
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located over the west-central Caribbean Sea is 
expected to continue moving westward over the next couple of days, 
and produce a broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean 
Sea or extreme southern Gulf of Mexico by Thursday night or Friday. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some 
development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over 
the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward over 
the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Interests in Belize, the Yucatan 
Peninsula, and western Cuba should monitor the progress of this 
disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Lesser 
Antilles is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized shower 
activity.  This disturbance is forecast to move westward during the 
next several days where environmental conditions could become a 
little more conducive for development over the central or western 
Caribbean Sea by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart