000
ABNT20 KNHC 140554
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Paulette, located near Bermuda, on Tropical Depression Rene, 
located over the central Atlantic, on Tropical Storm Sally, 
centered over the north-central Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical 
Depression Twenty, located over the east-central tropical Atlantic. 

A weak area of low pressure over the west-central Gulf of Mexico 
continues to produce limited shower activity.  Development of this 
system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds while it 
moves slowly southwestward and then southward over the western Gulf 
of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles 
west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce an 
area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are 
conducive for a short-lived tropical depression to form on Monday 
while the low moves north-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  Development 
is not expected by Tuesday when the system is forecast to encounter 
strong upper-level winds and move over colder waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental 
conditions appear to be conducive for slow development of the 
system this week as the wave moves westward at about 10 mph over 
the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake