000
ABNT20 KNHC 120551
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the 
central Atlantic Ocean.  The National Hurricane Center is also 
issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen, located near 
southern Florida.

A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing 
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  Some slow 
development of this system is possible while it moves westward and 
then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico 
through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development of this system 
is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within 
the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward 
at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, 
is located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde 
Islands.  Environmental conditions could support development during 
the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the 
far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system 
moves slowly westward. After that, Upper-level winds could become 
less conducive for development by Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued under 
WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen are issued 
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Beven