000
ABNT20 KNHC 061129
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast 
of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better 
defined.  However, the associated showers and thunderstorms remain 
disorganized.  Gradual development of this system is expected, and 
a tropical depression is likely to form in the next day or so while 
it moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a tropical wave that is located just off the coast 
of western Africa. Gradual development of this system is expected, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the 
week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern 
tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should 
monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally 
heavy rainfall is possible there on Monday and Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development, if 
any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or 
two while it moves westward across the central and western 
Caribbean Sea.  After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds 
should limit its formation chances.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles 
southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized cloudiness and 
showers.  Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive 
for development during the next several days while this system 
moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi