000
ABNT20 KNHC 162334
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine, located a couple of hundred miles 
north of San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Shower and thunderstorm activity has continued to increase in 
association with a fast-moving tropical wave located about 500 miles 
east of the Windward Islands.  This disturbance is expected to move 
westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast 
forward speed is likely to limit significant development while the 
system approaches the Windward and southern Leeward Islands on 
Monday, and moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.  
After that time, however, the system is expected to move more slowly 
westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea, where 
upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of 
a tropical depression during the middle-to-latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Another tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic 
well to the southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large 
area of cloudiness and disorganized showers.  The wave is forecast 
to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, and 
environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for 
the development of a tropical depression during the middle-to- 
latter part of this week while the system moves across the central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart