000
ABNT20 KNHC 161727
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Josephine, located a couple of hundred miles 
north-northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico.  

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with 
a fast-moving tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the 
Windward Islands.  This system is expected to move westward at 
about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast speed is 
likely to limit significant development while the system approaches 
the Windward and southern Leeward Islands Monday, and moves across 
the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.  After that time, the system 
is expected to move more slowly westward across the central and 
western Caribbean Sea, and upper-level winds could be conducive for 
development during the middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Another tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical 
Atlantic is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers.  This 
wave is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next 
few days, and some development will be possible by the middle to 
latter part of the week as environmental conditions become more 
conducive while the system is over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown