000
ABNT20 KNHC 200527
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jul 20 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Bahamas, 
central Cuba, and adjacent Atlantic waters are associated with a 
tropical wave.  Environmental conditions could become a little more 
conducive for development of this system over the Gulf of Mexico.  
This system is expected to move west-northwestward through the 
Straits of Florida today, over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by 
Tuesday, across the central Gulf on Wednesday, and reach the 
northwestern Gulf on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located more than 900 miles west-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing a small area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to be 
marginally conducive for development of this system during the next 
few days while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical 
Atlantic. By Friday and over the weekend, conditions are forecast to 
become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart