000
ABNT20 KNHC 091131
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased overnight in 
association with an area of low pressure located about 60 miles east 
of Wilmington, North Carolina.  The thunderstorm activity is 
currently located well east and northeast of the low's center, but 
only a small increase in organization or a reformation of the 
center closer to the thunderstorm activity could result in the 
formation of a tropical or subtropical cyclone later today or 
tonight.  The low is expected to move northeastward or 
north-northeastward near or just offshore of the North Carolina 
Outer Banks later today and then along the mid-Atlantic coast 
tonight through Friday night. 

Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce 
locally heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across 
portions of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and 
southern New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also 
possible along the North Carolina Outer Banks today, and along 
the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and 
Saturday.  Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of 
this system and refer to products from your local National Weather 
Service office.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate this system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown