000
ABNT20 KNHC 081143
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated area of low pressure is located along the coast of 
northeastern South Carolina. This system is producing a large area 
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the adjacent Atlantic 
waters.  The low is expected to move northeastward near or just 
offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks on Thursday, and then 
turn north-northeastward and move along the mid-Atlantic coast 
Friday.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for 
development, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form 
within the next couple of days.  Regardless of development, the low 
is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall that could cause 
some flash flooding across portions of eastern North Carolina, the 
coastal mid-Atlantic, and southern New England during the next few 
days. Gusty winds are also possible in the North Carolina Outer 
Banks through Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown