000
ABNT20 KNHC 312349
TWOAT 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
750 PM EDT Sun May 31 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for 
tropical cyclone formation over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

The remnants of Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda are currently 
located over northern Guatemala.  This system is forecast to move 
northwestward to northward within a broader area of disturbed 
weather, and it could emerge over the southeastern Bay of Campeche 
on Monday. If the remnants move back over water, environmental 
conditions appear conducive to support some development, and a new 
tropical depression could form while the system moves little through 
the middle of this week. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, 
heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern 
Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during 
the next few days. For additional information on the rainfall 
threat, see products from your national meteorological service.  The 
next update on this system will be in the first regularly scheduled 
Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season, 
which will be issued by 2 AM EDT Monday morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven