199 ABNT20 KNHC 162322 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with an upper-level low and surface trough. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system late next week and further development is not expected after that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi