000
ABNT20 KNHC 160537
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Fifteen, located near the northern Cabo Verde Islands.

A trough of low pressure located over southern Mexico and the Bay
of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The system is forecast to emerge over the Bay of Campeche later
today and move slowly northward.  Gradual development is possible,
and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form late this week over
the western or central Gulf of Mexico while the system is moving
generally northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake