000
ABNT20 KNHC 111127
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 11 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers have become more concentrated this morning near the center
of a non-tropical low pressure system located off the northeastern
and mid-Atlantic coasts of the United States.  This low, which is
currently producing storm-force winds, is expected to continue
meandering off the coast through tonight, producing strong winds,
coastal flooding, heavy rainfall, and rough surf along portions of
the mid-Atlantic and northeastern United States coasts.  Some
additional subtropical or tropical development is possible through
tonight.  Upper-level winds are expected to increase over the system
during the weekend while the low weakens and moves away from the
northeastern United States.  Additional information on this system
can be found in local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western
Caribbean Sea during the weekend.  This system is forecast to move
westward toward Central America early next week, and some
development is possible if the low remains over water while moving
near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure, is
expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Sunday.  Although
the far eastern Atlantic is not climatologically favorable for
tropical cyclone formation this late in the hurricane season, some
development of this system appears possible early next week while
it moves generally northwestward near or over the Cabo Verde
Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Latto