000
ABNT20 KNHC 091745
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located several hundred miles
east of Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity. Although some limited development is still possible today,
upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for further
development by tonight, and the chance of this system becoming a
tropical or subtropical cyclone is decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the
United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low
pressure that is producing gale-force winds. This system is
forecast to strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of
the United States during the next day or so. Environmental
conditions are expected to be unfavorable for significant
subtropical or tropical cyclone development through the end of the
week as it meanders offshore the United States. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal
flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid-Atlantic and
northeastern United States coasts through late week. Additional
information on this system can also be found in local products and
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina is becoming poorly
defined. Upper level winds remain only marginally favorable for some
additional development today. By tonight, the system is forecast to
merge with the low off the east coast of the United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Latto/McElroy