000
ABNT20 KNHC 091144
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located about 1000 miles east of
Bermuda is producing winds to near gale force.  This system
could still become a tropical or subtropical storm while it moves
slowly westward through today.  However, upper-level winds are
expected to become unfavorable for further development by tonight.
Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the
United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low
pressure that is producing gale-force winds.  This system is
forecast to strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of
the United States during the next day or so.  Environmental
conditions are now forecast to be less conducive for significant
subtropical or tropical cyclone development through the end of the
week as it meanders offshore the United States. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal
flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid- Atlantic and
northeastern United States coasts through late week.  Additional
information on this system can also be found in local products and
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A small area of low pressure located about 250 miles southeast of
Cape Hatteras, North Carolina is producing showers and thunderstorms
well east of the center. Upper level winds are only marginally
favorable for some additional development today. By tonight, the
system is forecast to merge with the low off the east coast of the
United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Latto/McElroy