552 
ABNT20 KNHC 041143
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure that NHC has been tracking over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea is now located just north of the
Yucatan peninsula, and it appears to be degenerating into a broad
trough of low pressure. Only a few showers remain associated with
this system, and development is not anticipated while it moves over
the Bay of Campeche during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

A low pressure system is forecast to form in the North Atlantic
between Bermuda and the Azores by the middle of next week.
This system will be monitored for signs of tropical or subtropical
development while it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila