116 
ABNT20 KNHC 031730
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 3 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure is centered over the Yucatan Channel,
but its associated shower activity remains disorganized and located
well to the east of the low over Cuba and the Cayman Islands.
This system is forecast to move westward across the northern portion
of the Yucatan peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche during the
next few days. Environmental conditions do not favor any significant
development of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila