030 ABNT20 KNHC 021738 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Lorenzo, which has become a post-tropical cyclone over the northeastern Atlantic. A broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are not conducive and development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves to the west-northwest near the Yucatan peninsula in a day or so, and over the southern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown