000
ABNT20 KNHC 011745
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lorenzo, located several hundred miles southwest of the western
Azores.

A broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any
development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it
moves to the west-northwest near the Yucatan peninsula in a couple
of days, and over the southern Gulf of Mexico by Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers that extend from the
southeastern Bahamas northeastward across the western Atlantic for
several hundred miles are associated with a surface trough.
Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur
while it moves to the northeast at 5 to 10 mph, well south and east
of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky