000
ABNT20 KNHC 141714
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Humberto, centered just east-northeast of the northwestern
Bahamas.

An elongated area of disturbed weather is located about 750 miles
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this
system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves
westward across the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A large area of cloudiness and showers over the eastern Gulf of
Mexico is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface
trough.  Only slow development of this system is likely during
the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western
Gulf of Mexico.  This system is forecast to move inland along
the northwestern Gulf coast by late Monday or Tuesday and
development is not expected after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown