000
ABNT20 KNHC 132345
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly
developed Tropical Depression Nine, located near the northwestern
Bahamas.

A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1100 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity
and only gradual development is anticipated during the next couple
of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical
Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for
development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible
during the next several days, and a tropical depression
could form early next week while it moves westward across the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of disturbed weather has developed between two tropical
waves, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
This disturbance may merge with a tropical wave approaching from
the east over the weekend. However, some development of this system
is possible through early next week as long as it remains distinct
from the wave. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky