000
ABNT20 KNHC 040558
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Dorian, located about 100 miles east of the coast of central
Florida. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on
Tropical Storm Fernand, located about 100 miles east of the coast of
northeastern Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Eight, located
several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

A trough of low pressure, located just east of Bermuda, is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some development of this
disturbance is possible, and a tropical depression could form during
the next couple of days as the disturbance moves northeastward, away
from Bermuda.  Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast to become
less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in Bermuda
should monitor the progress of this system, and areas of heavy
rainfall are likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical
Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands later today.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this
week or over the weekend while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Stewart