000
ABNT20 KNHC 310539
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Dorian, located a few hundred miles east of the northwestern
Bahamas.

A tropical wave located about midway between the coast of Africa
and the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form next week while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean.  Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the
southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next few days, and interests
on those islands should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southeastern Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Some
slow development of this system is possible during the next several
days while it moves generally westward across the southern and
southwestern Gulf of Mexico at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg