000 ABNT20 KNHC 180515 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A small low pressure system located along the North Carolina coast near Wilmington is producing a compact area of showers and thunderstorms. Any tropical development today is expected to be limited due to the system's proximity to land. By Sunday night, the low is expected to move northeastward over the warmer Atlantic waters offshore of the Outer Banks, where some further organization could occur before the system encounters cooler waters on Tuesday. The low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall along with a threat of flash flooding in coastal portions of South and North Carolina through this evening. Please see products from your local National Weather Service office or the Weather Prediction Center's Excessive Rainfall Outlook for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake