000 ABNT20 KNHC 282340 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Jul 28 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A persistent area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave. This disturbance is expected to move west-northwestward to northwestward across the north-central Caribbean Sea during the next few days, producing locally heavy rainfall and possibly some flooding across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Little development of the disturbance, however, is likely during this time as upper-level winds are becoming less conducive. The system is forecast to move near or over the Straits of Florida or the Bahamas by the end of the week where environmental conditions could be a little more conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven