000
ABNT20 KNHC 100523
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 10 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad low pressure area located over the far northeastern Gulf of
Mexico is producing widespread but disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to
form late today or Thursday while the low moves slowly westward
across the northern Gulf of Mexico.  An Air Force Reserve Unit
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance
this afternoon.  This system could produce storm surge and tropical
storm or hurricane force winds across portions of the Louisiana,
Mississippi and Upper Texas coasts, and interests there should
closely monitor its progress.  In addition, this disturbance has the
potential to produce very heavy rainfall from the Upper Texas Coast
to the Florida Panhandle.  For more information, please see products
issued by your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather
Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch