829 
ABNT20 KNHC 040504
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jun 4 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located over southwestern Gulf of Mexico are currently
disorganized.  This system is expected to move slowly northwestward
toward the northeastern coast of Mexico, and it could become a
tropical cyclone before moving inland later today or tonight.
Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy
rainfall over portions of southern and eastern Mexico during the
next few days.  Heavy rainfall is also likely to spread over
southeastern Texas and Louisiana through Thursday.  An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
disturbance later today, if necessary.  Interests along the Gulf
coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven