000 ABNT20 KNHC 232351 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 23 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of cloudiness and showers over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is associated with a surface trough. This trough is expected to move slowly northward over the next few days into an area where environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development. A tropical or subtropical depression could form over the weekend while the system turns westward well to the northeast of the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake