000
ABNT20 KNHC 161118
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 16 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A well-defined low pressure system located near the northwestern
coast of Honduras continues to produce a large area of cloudiness
and thunderstorms over portions of the far western Caribbean Sea and
much of Central America. Although this system could still become a
tropical depression before it moves inland over southern Belize by
early afternoon, any further development is unlikely due to land
interaction. Once the low moves inland, rapid weakening is expected.
Regardless of development, strong gusty winds are possible over
portions of Belize and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula today before
diminishing by this evening. In addition, locally heavy rainfall,
which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of
Central America during the next few days.  The Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft mission that was scheduled for this
afternoon has been canceled due the disturbance's proximity to land.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart