000
ABNT20 KNHC 160519
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Oct 16 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure system located along the north-central coast of
Honduras continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and
thunderstorms over portions of the far western Caribbean Sea and
much of Central America.  Although the associated shower and
thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization overnight,
the system could still become a tropical depression before it moves
inland over Belize later today.  Regardless of development, gusty
winds are possible over portions of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula
today.  In addition, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash
flooding, is possible across portions of Central America during the
next few days.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown