764 
ABNT20 KNHC 041140
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 4 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

A large cyclonic gyre, defined by a broad area of low pressure
typical of this time of the year, covers a portion of Central
America and the western Caribbean Sea and is producing an extensive
area of disorganized clouds and thunderstorms.  While surface
pressures are relatively low in the area, upper-level winds are
currently not favorable for tropical cyclone formation.
Environmental conditions could become less hostile this weekend and
early next week, allowing for some slow development as the system
drifts northwestward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the
southern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven