188 
ABNT20 KNHC 040516
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Oct 4 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

A large cyclonic gyre, defined by a broad area of low pressure
typical of this time of the year, covers a portion of Central
America and the western Caribbean Sea.  This system is accompanied
by an extensive area of disorganized clouds and thunderstorms, and
although surface pressures are relatively low in the area,
upper-level winds are currently highly unfavorable for tropical
cyclone formation.  Environmental conditions could become less
hostile this weekend and early next week, allowing for some slow
development in this region as the system drifts northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg