715 ABNT20 KNHC 152344 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories Subtropical Storm Ernesto located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. A tropical wave located about 850 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Slow development of this disturbance is possible over the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. By early next week, however, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for any significant development to occur when the system will be moving over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Ernesto are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Ernesto are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Stewart