000
ABNT20 KNHC 032302
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 3 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles southeast
of Bermuda has changed little today. However, environmental
conditions are gradually forecast to become more conducive for the
development of a low pressure system by late this week when the
disturbance is expected to be south or southwest of Bermuda.  The
system is forecast to move generally northward over the weekend and
begin interacting with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit
any additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A vigorous tropical wave is producing a concentrated area of
showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be
somewhat conducive for gradual development of this disturbance over
the next few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph. By the weekend, however, conditions are expected to
become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart