000 ABNT20 KNHC 141730 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Jun 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A surface trough, accompanied by an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, has emerged over the southern Gulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche. This system is expected to move generally west-northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico today through Saturday. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart