000 ABNT20 KNHC 140501 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A surface trough over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This activity is likely to move west-northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula and over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico today and Friday. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive for the development of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila