000
ABNT20 KNHC 170501
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that a sharp surface trough of
low pressure lies over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, with an
associated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending
from Puerto Rico northward to near Bermuda.  Although tropical
cyclone development is becoming less likely due to strong upper-
level winds, this disturbance is forecast to merge with a cold front
over the western Atlantic by tonight, and a non-tropical area of
low pressure is expected to develop along the front and move toward
the north Atlantic during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg