000 ABNT20 KNHC 162338 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Broad low pressure centered about 500 miles southwest of Bermuda continues to produce an elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms which extends from Puerto Rico northward over the western Atlantic Ocean. The low's circulation is not well defined, and significant tropical development appears unlikely during the next day or so due to strong upper-level winds. The disturbance is forecast to move generally northeastward, merging with a frontal system over the western Atlantic by Tuesday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg