000
ABNT20 KNHC 142318
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean about 100 miles
southeast of the eastern Azores.

A broad area of low pressure centered near the northern Leeward
Islands is producing disorganized showers and squalls over portions
of the Leeward Islands and adjacent waters.  This activity is
expected to spread over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight
and Sunday.  Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable
for development during the next day or two, but the environment
could become a little more conducive for some development early next
week when the system begins to move northward and then recurves over
the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown