000
ABNT20 KNHC 082334
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The NOAA Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Nate, located over central Tennessee.

A well-defined low pressure system is located over the subtropical
Atlantic Ocean about 800 miles southwest of the Azores.  Although
the low is being affected by strong upper-level winds, shower and
thunderstorm activity has become a little better organized,
developing closer to the center of circulation since earlier this
afternoon.  In addition, satellite-derived wind data from this
morning indicated that the low was producing a small area of
gale-force winds to the north of the center.  Upper-level winds are
not expected to become more conducive for development until
mid-week, but a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form at any
time if the shower activity persists near the center.  The low is
forecast to drift northward on Monday and then move slowly toward
the east-southeast through the middle of the week.  Additional
information on this system can be found in high seas forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Berg