000
ABNT20 KNHC 052336
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 5 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Nate, located over eastern Honduras.

A non-tropical area of low pressure located over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms across the Florida peninsula, west-central Cuba, and
the adjacent waters.  Upper-level winds are not favorable for
tropical cyclone formation, and the low is expected to weaken
tonight.  However, locally heavy rainfall, some coastal flooding,
and strong gusty winds, especially in squalls, are likely to
continue over portions of the Florida peninsula overnight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form in a few days along the
southern extent of a frontal boundary, about 900 miles southwest of
the Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical or tropical
characteristics early next week while it remains nearly stationary
over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky