000
ABNT20 KNHC 031730
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad
area of low pressure has formed over the southwestern Caribbean
Sea.  Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for
development, and this system could become a tropical depression
within the next few days while it drifts northwestward to northward
across the northwestern Caribbean and adjacent land areas and into
the Gulf of Mexico by the weekend.  Regardless of development, this
system will likely produce heavy rains over portions of Central
America during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A trough of low pressure located over Cuba and near the
northwestern Bahamas is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and gusty winds.  Although significant development of this
system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds, this system
will likely produce heavy rain and gusty winds over portions of the
Bahamas and Florida during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi