000 ABNT20 KNHC 031131 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 3 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A trough of low pressure is moving westward over southern Florida, producing showers and gusty winds. Upper-level winds are not favorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea within the next few days. Some slow development of this system is possible by the weekend while the low drifts northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch