000
ABNT20 KNHC 290533
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 29 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Maria, located over the western Atlantic Ocean a few hundred
miles north of Bermuda, and on Hurricane Lee, located over the
central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-northeast of
Bermuda.

A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the
northwestern Caribbean Sea northward across Cuba to southern
Florida and the northwestern Bahamas is associated with a broad
surface trough interacting with an upper-level low.  A weak area of
low pressure is likely to form from this weather system later today
and move northward near the east coast of the Florida peninsula
through Saturday.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some development of this system during the next couple of days,
before upper-level winds become less favorable Saturday night or
Sunday.  Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce
locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and western Cuba,
the Florida Keys, the Florida peninsula, and the northwestern
Bahamas during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg