000
ABNT20 KNHC 110511
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 11 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of disturbed weather centered a couple of hundred miles
north of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a broad
trough of low pressure.  While upper-level winds are forecast to
become more favorable for development by the weekend, dry air aloft
could limit the system's thunderstorm activity, making the overall
environment only marginally conducive.  The trough is expected to
move northwestward today, then northward over the weekend across the
western Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A weak and elongated area of low pressure is centered just northeast
of Cape Canaveral, Florida. This low is accompanied by disorganized
showers and thunderstorms extending from southern Florida
northeastward across the southwestern Atlantic. Significant
development is not anticipated but this system could bring locally
heavy rains to portions of the Florida peninsula as it moves
northwestward and northward during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake