000
ABNT20 KNHC 050522
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Aug 5 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms extending from the Cabo Verde Islands
southwestward across the tropical Atlantic are associated with an
elongated area of low pressure. This system remains poorly
organized, but environmental conditions are expected to become a
little more favorable for this system to consolidate, and a tropical
depression could form early next week while it moves toward the
west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over the south-central Caribbean Sea. The wave is moving westward
at 15 mph and development, if any, during the next day or two
will likely to be slow. Conditions could become a little more
favorable for tropical cyclone formation early next week if the
disturbance moves over the southern Bay of Campeche. There is also a
possibility that the wave moves over Central America, and in that
case no development is anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila